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Transistor kills the radio star?

5.2 Satélite

Para onde foram os ouvintes de HStern?

Este artigo tenta responder a uma pergunta que faz todo o sentido: as audiências de HStern, quando trabalhava herztianamente, eram superiores a 10 milhões de ouvintes. Agora na Sirius não terá mais do que dois milhões...

«Can millions of listeners just disappear?

That's a question plaguing Howard Stern and one with vital implications for radio itself in the wake of the shock jock's heralded and hyped switch from free to satellite broadcasting.

The self-proclaimed King of All Media once commanded a national audience of 12 million daily listeners before jumping to satellite in January. But since then, his kingdom has shrunk to a small fraction of that size. Meanwhile, the shock jock's main replacements thus far have failed to hold very much of the former flock. According to industry analysts, the new Stern math scans something like this: At best, he took between 1 million and 2 million listeners with him, and his replacements, spread across many of the country's major radio markets, are drawing numbers in a similar range. That leaves 8 million to 10 million nomadic listeners nationwide wandering the terrestrial radio dial in search of a new voice or sound to lead them out of the morning drive-time wilderness. Call them the Howard Stern diaspora, those legions unwilling to fork over satellite subscription fees and unimpressed by pretenders to the throne. (...)

With limited ratings data so far, it's hard to tell where the Stern herd is roaming and where big portions of it might ultimately settle, say analysts. But Arbitron ratings clearly demonstrate they aren't stampeding toward Stern's big-name replacements, former Van Halen frontman David Lee Roth on the East Coast and comedian Adam Carolla on the West Coast. Although any head-to-head comparisons between the newcomers and the veteran Stern are unfair, say analysts, the pair's ratings are nevertheless widely regarded as disappointing and, in one case, possibly job threatening.

(...) In a recent interview, Stern attacked his ex-listeners who are still clinging to terrestrial radio and have refused to cheer him on on the other side. "You haven't come with me yet? How dare you?" Stern told Entertainment Weekly. "We're up to wild, crazy stuff; the show has never sounded better."

fonte: Trying to corral Stern's lost herd, Los Angeles Times, http://www.calendarlive.com/tv/cl-et-stern11apr11,0,4823944.storyBy Martin Miller, Times Staff Writer, April 11, 2006


Uma rádio de Nova Iorque no Japão (via satélite)

«Japan’s satellite digital multimedia broadcasting service, Mobile Broadcasting Corp., is carrying the Internet stream of WQXR(FM) in New York. Marketed in Japan as MobaHO!, the stream carries the classical music programming of WQXR as well as some commercials and customized programming elements. WQXR, operated by The New York Times, will be one of two classical music channels in the MobaHO! lineup and the only station imported from outside Japan, the companies said.

Station GM Tom Bartunek said he hopes to expand that relationship. MobaHO! has 37audio channels, including overseas FM radio stations and genre-specific music programming; eight video channels, including news, sports and entertainment programming; and a data service channel»

fonte: rwoline, «WQXR to Be Carried on Japanese Satellite Broadcasting», 2006-04-05

Mais aqui; a rádio: http://www.wqxr.com/cgi-bin/iowa

Um receptor digital na GB que grava música

«A new digital radio receiver in the U.K. will allow listeners to download songs after their hear them. The HD Radio is being tested by Chrysalis and UBC Media, and if it is a success, will fully launch by year's end. The service will incorporate Chrysalis' AC "Heart" radio stations and a new mobile device that also receives TV stations as well as radio. It would likely work as a subscription service, with an extra fee on top for each song. The service uses DAB digital radio technology, according to Reuters, which allows data files and audio to be sent simultaneously. UBC CEO Simon Cole told the BBC, "If you press 'Buy' when you're listening to James Blunt on Heart, the file is immediately added to your library in the phone. The server also pushes a 128-kilobyte version of the song to your home account so it's also on your computer waiting to be put on your iPod. We think people will be willing to pay a premium for that level of service."»

fonte: FMQB, «New U.K. Digital Radio To Also Download Songs», April 6, 2006

A primeira geração de receptores portáteis via satélite

«Orbitcast has posted photos of the newest portable XM Radio player, the Pioneer Inno. The iPod-sized device receives XM's live signal, records up to 50 hours of music, schedules recordings, and plays WMA's and MP3's. Like earlier XM portables, the Inno has a built-in FM transmitter, allowing you to play your satellite radio over analog radio. Nice. Other specs: color display, 50 channel presets, playlist editing on the device, 5 hours of live XM playback and 15 hours of recorded playback. The price? A mere $399. »

fonte: http://www.droxy.com/2006/04/04/photos-of-pioneer-inno-xm2go-posted/

Os esforços (individuais) para pôr a XM e a Sirius nos telemóveis

«Fans of U.S. satellite radio have been waiting eagerly for nearly a year to get XM or Sirius onto their cell phones.

But as the two satellite radio providers carefully ponder their mobile strategies and chew over business plans, a small group of technically savvy devotees are taking matters into their own hands.

Grass-roots software and web developers have found ways to tap into XM Satellite Radio Holdings' and Sirius Satellite Radio's websites to stream music channels onto Windows-powered smartphones and other devices»

fonte: Wired News, Satellite Radio Rocks Cell Phones, Reuters  13:10 PM Mar, 24, 2006

A aposta do satélite nas estações commercial-free

Há qualquer coisa que me escapa, mas registo a procura das estações via satélite por rádios sem publicidade:

«Overall, the additions will raise the XM selection to 69 commercial-free music channels, a figure that narrowly beats competitor Sirius»

Sirius com quatro milhões de assinantes

O furacão Howard Stern continua a fazer estragos... na XM.

A Sirius acaba de anunciar o assinante nº 4 milhões, o que a põe muito mais próxima da XM. O objectivo é fechar o ano com mais de 6 milhões. E bater a XM?

As contratações milionárias no satélite estão a custar caro

«The race for exclusive content on satellite radio is costing some serious money and could delay that industry's move from red ink to black ink, says Banc of America Securities analyst Jonathan Jacoby in a report published March 7. The BofA report comes at the same time Sirius Satellite Radio announced it had signed Candace Bushnell, New York Times bestselling author and Sex and the City creator for a weekly four-hour call-in Talk show. The show, called Candace Bushnell's Sex, Success and Sensibility will debut this spring. Sirius' latest deal follows a month after XM Satellite Radio announced it will pay Oprah Winfrey's Harpo Productions $55 million to program a channel, including original content and regular segments from personalities on Oprah's TV show, her magazine O, and a weekly reality show with Oprah and Gayle King. Although Jacoby wrote that he remained "positive" on the satellite radio industry, he also expressed worries about "rising fixed costs (e.g., content)" that could "create uncertainty over the timing of positive free cash flow." Sirius will spend about $240 million this year on programming and content -- and about $16 million of those costs this year will come from deals already announced, including Cosmopolitan, Playboy, Blue Collar Comedy, the renewed Fox News/Fox News Talk deal and the recently announced Court TV deal. Sirius' NASCAR deal will add $22 million in programming costs in 2007»

(fonte: Mediaweek, Content Costs Could Delay Satellite Profits, Katy Bachman and Tony Sanders, Billboard Radio Monitor,MARCH 07, 2006; via Obercom)

Legisladores dos EUA querem que a rádio se mantenha local

mesmo perante os desafios do satélite. Ou por causa disso mesmo...

«The bill says that "because radio programming is supported by advertising, the ability of local stations to continue to provide local news and other services and to ensure communications during emergencies could be jeopardized by a diversion of the listening audience away from local radio programming." (...) It is crystal clear that both XM and Sirius – with nearly $1 billion in combined losses last year and having failed as a national programming service – are skirting the intent of their original FCC licenses. This bill holds satellite radio accountable to those licenses."»

(fonte: FMQB, Senate Proposes "Local Emergency Radio Service Preservation Act", March 16, 2006)

»O satélite vai fazer ao FM o que o FM fez ao AM»

"The similarities between radio in the seventies and what we're trying to do with satellite radio are unbelievable," says Abrams. "What was happening with AM versus FM back then - the migration of listeners from the AM dial to the FM dial - is exactly like what will happen in the year 2000. The headline will read 'XM Does to FM What FM Did to AM.' I think that's a pretty powerful statement (...)" (Lee Abrams, director de programas da XM).

(excertos de um memo interno enviado por lee Abrams em Janeiro de 1999)

«In 2000, FM Radio...

- Is not addressing most of the mass-appeal music styles (hard rock, jazz, reggae); XM will embrace these styles.

- FM no longer meets the audio standard for music, which has progressed from from stereo to digital; XM will deliver digital quality.

- FM doesn't play anything other than the hit single from any given artist; XM will go deep into a CD.

- FM doesn't reflect the look of the times. Its logos are too corporate and DJ look tired; XM will look, feel, and breathe modern culture in every way.

- FM is not part of the technological retooling; XM is an integral part of the digitizing of America.

- FM is making money, but listeners are suffering; XM will cash in simply by pleasing and exciting listeners.

- FM Sounds hokey and cliché; XM will be real, honest, and relatable.»

(McCoy, 1999: 149/150)  

Quatro canais com publicidade na XM

Os primeiros! Em resultado de um conflito com a Clear Channel, proprietária das rádios retransmitidas pela XM:

«Now, an interesting situation involving Clear Channel could force commercials onto a number of XM stations. Most recently, the company pointed to an upcoming change as part of a 10-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. XM noted that "commercial advertisements will resume on music programming currently provided to us by Clear Channel," part of a "dispute we had with Clear Channel relating to our respective rights and obligations" following a "1998 investment in us."

 

Porque a rádio via satélite está a ganhar

«it’s not what XM or Sirius are now or where they will be in a year that will tell, but where they are in five years - indeed, where all radio will be. And I believe that in five years, radio, whether satellite, Internet or broadcast (or, in the silly cant of the moment, "terrestrial"), will sound and feel much more like satellite radio than like its 2006 self.

Does that mean satellite "wins"? Maybe not. But it does mean satellite is helping accelerate a wonderful change in the media world. (...) And that is where satellite radio is having an impact - not in employment numbers, not in revenues, but in format. Broadcast listeners have, since about 1995, been in revolt against narrowing formats foisted upon the ear by companies such as Clear Channel, Cumulus Media, and Infinity Broadcasting. What are listeners revolting against? Two things: advertising and homogenization».

(fonte: Philadelphia Inquirer, In radio, satellite is gaining ground, John Timpane,  Mar. 05, 2006)

E se os operadores via satélite conseguirem frequências hertzianas?

«NAB president/CEO David Rehr accuses XM of wanting to purchase a block of WCS sepctrum in order to develop local, potentially terrestrial-based service. In its original mandate in granting licences to XM and Sirius, the FCC was careful to insist that the companies offer only nationwide broadcasting».
(fonte: NAB Chides FCC Over XM Interest In WCS, Billboard Radio Monitor, March 02, 2006, By Chuck Taylor)

Mas há rádios hertzianas a emitirem via satélite: «

One of America's pioneering AM broadcasters, station WLW in Cincinnati, is now being rebroadcast on XM channel 173. WLW becomes the first terrestrial station to be relayed fulltime via satellite.

Until the early 1980s, stations such as WLW were known as "clear channel" stations (not to be confused with "Clear Channel," the broadcasting giant!).  Such "clear channel" stations had, at most, only one or two other stations operating on their frequency at night,  used high power (50,000 watts), and usually non-directional antennas.  As a result, such stations could be heard throughout much of North America at night; stations such as WLW and WLS, 890, in Chicago could be regularly heard throughout the "lower 48" at night during the winter.

With increasing numbers of stations authorized to operate at night on AM, the "clear channel" era drew to a close by the late 1980s.  And now a pioneering "clear channel" broadcaster moves to the clearest channel of all, satellite.»

(fonte: WLW In Cincinnati Now On XM Channel 173)

Novos leitores via satélite permitem comprar músicas

"In two weeks, XM Satellite Radio will begin shipping to retailers a pair of new XM-enabled portable MP3 players. In addition to recording and  time-shifting capabilities, the devices — the Helix from Samsung and Inno from Pioneer — will feature a button users can push to 'bookmark' songs they like when they hear them on the radio. Later, when users dock the player to an Internet-connected port, the marked songs will be bought and automatically downloaded from Napster... (...) "The next generation [after that] will be that if you want to hit that button for more information about that product you just heard described,'... (from AdAge, via RAIN)

Programação via satélite dos EUA para a Europa

«Pretty soon you'll be able to hear former WCBS-FM oldies jocks Bob Shannon and Bobby Jay on the radio - if you move to Europe and subscribe to the new satellite network VIP.

Both Shannon and Jay are in the starting lineup for that new service. But almost nine months after WCBS-FM switched from oldies to a Jack format, neither they nor any other WCBS-FM jocks have regular daily shows in New York. » («Ex-'CBS jocks resurface, but for Euro ears only», DAVID HINCKLEY, DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITER, Originally published on February 22, 2006 )

 

Entrada de HStern valeu 1,14 milhõesde assinantes para a Sirius!

«The longtime underdog tacked on 1.14 million subscribers in the fourth quarter alone, fueled by the addition of Howard Stern. That is a record for the company, and surpasses growth of 898,315 subscribers reported by market-leader XM during the same period. Sirius now has 3.3 million total subscribers, and projected a total of 6 million by year end 2006.»

Mas agravou os prejuízos: «But losses continued to mount. For the fourth quarter, Sirius posted a net loss of ($311.4) million, surpassing a figure of ($261.9) million from the year-ago period. For the full year, losses were also pronounced, moving to ($863) million, significantly worse than figures of ($712.2) million for 2004. Overall, that is part of an aggressive spending strategy by Sirius, designed to claim valuable subscribers during a formative market stage. That approach is also reflected at XM, whose spending habits led to the recent resignation of a top board member.»

Sirius Losses Widen, Stern Powers Big Subscriber Gains, Digital Music News, 21/2/06

A importância da experiência satélite nos EUA

Durante muitos anos a rádio via satélite esteve condenada uma vez que implicava um posto fixo de escuta; ora retirar mobilidade à rádio é o mesmo que negá-la. A tecnologia que vem sendo desenvolvida nos EUA, primeiro nos automóveis e agora com receptores que dispensam uma base fixa (que são autónomos mesmo em movimento), pode ser um sinal de muito significado para a rádio via satélite. Em 2001 o engenheiro-chefe da UER, Frank Kozamernik escrevia isto (agora estará ultrapassado...):

"También, la radio digital se difunde por satélite en el Reino Unido a través de la televisión digital, aunque se trata de algo estático que depende del receptor de televisión, de una caja colocada en cualquier esquina del hogar" (Martinéz-Costa, 2001: 50).

A publicidade na rádio via satélite

(esta questão é interessante, na medida em que a rádio via satélite construiu toda a sua estrutura no pressuposto de que não teria publicidade; agora as receitas de publicidade podem representar 10 por cento das receitas totais...)

«Karmazin also said this morning that he expects advertising revenues to “start approaching” 10% of subscriber revenues. He said that Sirius had “a little over $6 million” in ad revenues in 2005 and “as of today, we have a bit over $6 million on the books for 2006, and it’s only six weeks” into the year.

Karmazin said 10% would probably be the right percentage “closer to” 2007 than 2006. If the figure is 7% in 2006, and he predicts $600 million in revenue, that would make this year’s advertising take about $42 million.

With revenue projected to be $1 billion in 2007, that 10% figure would mean $100 million in advertising that year.

“We don’t think it’s hurting terrestrial radio in any way” Karmazin said, adding that, “Clearly, there has been advertising money that has come from terrestrial radio,” but he said it wasn’t clear if those advertisers had increased their overall budgets or actually shifted money from terrestrial to satellite.
»

 

 

Stern To Stream Via Sirius; Fox Returns,Feb. 17, 2006 , By Tony Sanders

Ser opção ou equipamento de origem - decisivo!

Mark Ramsey põe as coisas no ponto certo: para a rádio satélite (e não só, também para a HD) é fundamental que se transforme em equipamento standard (de origem) e não apenas opção a partir do carro. Quando isso começar a acontecer regularmente, a rádio por satélite estará consagrada.

"The key words you should note are these: "Option" and "Standard."

The former is a no-win, except to the extent it keeps the competition from providing a like option. The latter means it's a no-brainer for the car owner, and anything that's a no-brainer will slip through their consciousness like a hot knife through butter. Of course, having an introductory deal doesn't mean you'll stick with it, but such a deal makes possible the most important scenario of all: Trial."

Por que é a rádio via satélite (ou através do cabo) não vingou

(pelo menos na Europa)

"The problem of portability [tal como relativamente à internet] is also shared by satellite and cable radio because sets have to be connected to either a dish or cable network" (Fleming, 2002, 30)